Thursday, October 09, 2008

Offseason Target Idea #1: Jake Peavy

The Padres are for sale.

The Padres will be shopping everyone.

He's affordable now, but getting more expensive:
2009 opening day age: 27
2009 salary: $11 million
2010 salary: $15 million
2011 salary: $16 million
2012 salary: $17 million
Peavy signed a three-year, $52 million extension, which begins in 2010, on Dec. 12, 2007. The Padres have a team option for 2013 at $22 million, with a $4 million buyout.

Try signing Sabathia for that amount and you'll get laughed at, and Peavy's the better pitcher.

The problem? How much would it take to get one of the top three pitchers in the game?

I'm not one of the "trade Cano!" people, because I don't like trading young talent when it is at its lowpoint value-wise, but any package would have to start with the second baseman. The Padres do have a prospect (Matt Antonelli) they drafted first a couple of years ago who plays second, and he's one of the highest rated prospects in their system. That is, of course, because the Padres farm system is downright awful. Antonelli was scheduled prior to 2008 to begin 2009 as the starter on the big club. After a disastrous 2008 in AAA (.215/.335/.322, 7 HR) it's obvious he's not ready and possible he may never pan out. Cano would offer the Pads a significant upgrade.

Of course, they'd need a bit more. They'd be saving a chunk of change with dealing Peavy's salary, but he's their most marketable player now that Hoffman is in severe decline. To justify it, they would also have to get a number of those coveted arms from the Yankees system.

Hughes and Chamberlain are most likely off the table, so let's guess it would take Cano, Ian Kennedy, Austin Jackson, Xavier Nady and Alfredo Aceves. The Padres outfield was/is awful, and Jackson could be a good player for a long time. Nady came up as a Padre, and could fill in immediately. Kennedy could fit right into their rotation and could shine in that ballpark and in the National League.

Food for thought, Mr. Cashman. Throw some things against the wall and see what sticks.

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posted by Mr. Faded Glory @ 3:29 PM   3 comments







3 Comments:

At 10/10/2008 11:05 AM, Anonymous Jay said...

If you are suggesting that they trade away nady and jackson who would play in the outfield?

 
At 10/10/2008 11:23 AM, Blogger Mr. Faded Glory said...

Centerfield wouldn't change - you'd have either Damon, Gardner, or Cabrera (Jackson isn't a realistic 2009 option).

Abreu is a possibility. He's been on the decline but he's still productive. There are also plenty of FA options out there - Adam Dunn, who most likely would not break the bank, for example.

The OF shouldn't be a major concern. Finding an OFer is much easxier than finding an ace. You have to give something to get something.

You can mix and match with Damon, Gardner, Matsui, Abreu and Cabrera and explore free agents and be perfectly fine.

 
At 10/13/2008 5:28 PM, Blogger June said...

Also, nice eyes
/leaves mike's respect on table, exits room

 

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